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Released October 12, 2012
qstarnews Swing State Poll
Map above shows the 11 key swing states in pink for Romney and light blue for
Obama while the remaining states are solid red and blue for Romney and Obama
respectively.
4808 likely voters surveyed between September 24 and October 10 and it has a margin of error
of 1.41 percent. All likely voters were surveyed via web-based surveys.
The states included in this survey are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New
Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Questions and results as asked of likely voters in all 11 key swing states:
If the election were held today, would you vote for the ticket of Democratic candidates, President
Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden, or the ticket of Republican candidates,
former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Congressman Paul Ryan or the ticket of
Libertarian Candidates, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson and former California
Judge Jim Gray?
| Romney/Ryan |
50.20 |
| Obama/Biden |
46.00 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.92 |
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's performance as president?
| Somewhat Approve |
23.30 |
| Strongly Approve |
22.01 |
| Strongly Disapprove |
49.02 |
| Somewhat Disapprove |
5.51 |
Overall Approval and Disapproval
| Approve |
45.31 |
| Disapprove |
54.53 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama
| Romney/Ryan |
51.61 |
| Obama/Biden |
46.47 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.92 |
COLORADO
350 likely votes -- 5.24 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
52.18 |
| Obama/Biden |
45.86 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.90 |
| Approve |
47.79 |
| Disapprove |
52.13 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Colorado
| Romney/Ryan |
52.23 |
| Obama/Biden |
45.87 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.90 |
FLORIDA
1222 likely votes -- 3.96 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
51.88 |
| Obama/Biden |
43.90 |
| Johnson/Gray |
4.22 |
| Approve |
42.28 |
| Disapprove |
57.02 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Florida
| Romney/Ryan |
51.88 |
| Obama/Biden |
43.90 |
| Johnson/Gray |
4.22 |
IOWA
120 likely votes -- 8.95 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
47.69 |
| Obama/Biden |
48.07 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.90 |
| Approve |
50.11 |
| Disapprove |
49.34 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Iowa
| Romney/Ryan |
49.45 |
| Obama/Biden |
48.65 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.90 |
MICHIGAN
311 likely votes -- 5.56 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
52.40 |
| Obama/Biden |
44.71 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.89 |
| Approve |
45.60 |
| Disapprove |
55.08 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Michigan
| Romney/Ryan |
53.15 |
| Obama/Biden |
44.96 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.89 |
NEVADA
115 likely votes -- 9.14 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
50.72 |
| Obama/Biden |
40.24 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.04 |
| Approve |
38.36 |
| Disapprove |
53.31 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Nevada
| Romney/Ryan |
56.72 |
| Obama/Biden |
42.24 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.04 |
NEW HAMPSHIRE
83 likely votes -- 10.76 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
45.78 |
| Obama/Biden |
45.72 |
| Johnson/Gray |
5.08 |
| Approve |
45.72 |
| Disapprove |
50.85 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- New Hampshire
| Romney/Ryan |
48.35 |
| Obama/Biden |
46.57 |
| Johnson/Gray |
5.08 |
NORTH CAROLINA
506 likely votes -- 4.36 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
51.96 |
| Obama/Biden |
40.09 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.63 |
| Approve |
38.05 |
| Disapprove |
61.12 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- North Carolina
| Romney/Ryan |
56.70 |
| Obama/Biden |
41.67 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.63 |
OHIO
775 likely votes -- 4.36 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
48.60 |
| Obama/Biden |
48.22 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.51 |
| Approve |
48.45 |
| Disapprove |
51.78 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Ohio
| Romney/Ryan |
49.86 |
| Obama/Biden |
48.63 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.51 |
PENNSYLVANIA
566 likely votes -- 4.12 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
49.02 |
| Obama/Biden |
46.20 |
| Johnson/Gray |
3.58 |
| Approve |
45.79 |
| Disapprove |
54.28 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Pennsylvania
| Romney/Ryan |
49.92 |
| Obama/Biden |
46.50 |
| Johnson/Gray |
3.58 |
VIRGINIA
532 likely votes -- 4.25 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
51.47 |
| Obama/Biden |
45.16 |
| Johnson/Gray |
2.01 |
| Approve |
45.10 |
| Disapprove |
54.07 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Virginia
| Romney/Ryan |
52.49 |
| Obama/Biden |
45.50 |
| Johnson/Gray |
2.01 |
WISCONSIN
228 likely votes -- 6.49 margin of error
| Romney/Ryan |
48.56 |
| Obama/Biden |
47.22 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.21 |
| Approve |
47.29 |
| Disapprove |
49.77 |
Projected vote percentages with 75 percent of undecided voters going for Romney,
25 percent to Obama -- Wisconsin
| Romney/Ryan |
50.82 |
| Obama/Biden |
47.97 |
| Johnson/Gray |
1.21 |
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