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qstarnews Poll -- Partisan and Racial makeup of the 2012 electorate
Released November 5, 2012
The current electorate is made up of 36.9 percent registered Democrats, 33.3 percent
registered Republicans and 29.8 percent independent voters. This is based on current
and recent survey data from the various qstarnews polls and surveys.
Because of higher enthusiasm levels on the Republican side, the actual makeup of the
voters that participate in the 2012 election is projected to be 36.4 percent Democrats,
36.1 Republicans and 27.5 percent independents. From this electorate, the popular vote
is projected to be 51.4 percent for Romney and 47.9 percent for Obama.
The chart below illustrates the make up of the electorate by race and the percentage
within those racial groups the two candidates will receive.
| Percent of Population |
Racial Group |
Percentage Obama - Romney |
73.2 |
White |
33 -- 66 |
11.5 |
Black |
96 -- 4 |
10.4 |
Hispanic |
69 -- 31 |
3.7 |
Asian |
52 -- 48 |
0.7 |
Native American |
59 -- 41 |
0.5 |
Other |
45 -- 55 |
At those percentages within the racial groups, and the percent Obama to Romney within
each of them, it is expected that Mitt Romney will recieve about 51.422 percent of the
vote while Obama is expected to receive about 47.941 percent of the vote.
For more information and updated polling numbers and analysis please visit
www.unskewedpolls.com
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